Merida Open 2025: Paula Badosa vs Daria Saville preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Paula Badosa Daria Saville (Source: Getty)
Paula Badosa Daria Saville (Source: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: Paula Badosa v Daria Saville

Date: March 1st, 2025

Tournament: Merida Open Akron 2025

Round: Quarterfinal

Venue: Yucatan Country Club, Merida, Mexico

Category: WTA 500

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize Money: $1,064,510

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - DAZN

Paula Badosa v Daria Saville preview

Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship - Source: Getty
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championship - Source: Getty

Paula Badosa is the tournament's second seed, and faces qualifier Daria Saville in the quarterfinal. The winner will likely meet third seed Beatriz Haddad Maia in the semifinal. Badosa's start to the year has been solid - she beat third seed Coco Gauff in straight sets in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open before losing to World No. 1 Aryna Sabalenka in the semifinal.

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She also performed well at the Dubai Tennis Championships, extending Elena Rybakina to three sets before exiting in the third round. She beat Jaqueline Cristian in the opening round in Merida for the loss of only three games.

Daria Saville has survived two qualifying rounds, defeating Ellen Paris, Varvara Lepchenko, and Marta Kostyuk in straight sets in Round One. She needed three sets to win her second-round match against Anhelina Kalinina. The World No. 121 has returned to form after dropping out of qualifying matches in Dubai, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, and the Australian Open.

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Paula Badosa v Daria Saville head-to-head

Paul Badosa and Daria Saville have never played on the WTA tour - so the current head-to-head is 0-0.


Paula Badosa v Daria Saville odds

PlayersMoneyline Handicap BetsTotal Games
Paula Badosa+450-2.5 (-530)Over 12.5 (+117)
Daria Saville-670+2.5 (+335)Over 8.5 (+128)
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Paula Badosa v Daria Saville prediction

2025 Australian Open - Day 1 - Source: Getty
2025 Australian Open - Day 1 - Source: Getty

Paula Badosa is the far higher-ranked player at No. 11. The 27-year-old Spaniard has greater recent experience playing against much better opposition. She has reached two quarterfinals in Majors (the French Open in 2021 and the US Open in 2024) and the semifinals this year in Melbourne.

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30-year-old Saville's best days are perhaps behind her. 2017 was her best year—she ranked as highly as No. 20 that year and reached the fourth round of the Australian Open for the second year in a row. She also won her first and only tour title in 2017, the Connecticut Open.

Saville performed above expectations to reach this stage in Merida. She struggled in her second-round match and needed three sets to progress, so that the step up in class to face Badosa may be a step too far.

Pick: Paula Badosa to win in two sets.

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Edited by Tushhita Barua
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