Miami Open 2023: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Cerundolo preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

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Auger-Aliassime (left) is looking to reach the Miami fourth round.
Auger-Aliassime (left) is looking to reach the Miami fourth round.

Match Details

Fixture: (5) Felix Auger-Aliassime vs (25) Francisco Cerundolo

Tournament: Miami Open 2023

Date: Monday, March 27

Round: Third round (Round of 32)

Venue: Miami Gardens, Florida, United States

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Outdoor hardcourt

Prize money: $8,800,000

Live telecast: USA - Tennis Channel/TC Plus | UK - Amazon Prime Video


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Cerundolo preview

Auger-Aliassime is into the Miami third round.
Auger-Aliassime is into the Miami third round.

Fifth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime takes on 25th seed Francisco Cerundolo on Monday (March 27) for a place in the Miami Open fourth round.

The World No. 6 Auger-Aliassime improved to a 12-6 win-loss record in 2023 by seeing off Brazilian Thiago Monteiro in the second round. The Canadian is coming off a quarterfinal run at Indian Wells last week, where he lost to eventual winner Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets.

Auger-Aliassime also made the semifinals in Doha and the quarterfinals at the Dubai Tennis Championships, losing to the red-hot Daniil Medvedev on both occasions. He made the second week of the Australian Open at the start of the year, where he lost to Jiri Lehecka in the fourth round. The Canadian is now 7-3 in Miami, having reached the semifinals in 2021 before losing to John Isner.

Meanwhile, the 31st-ranked Cerundolo is off to a 9-8 start to the season, having beaten Alexandar Kovacevic in the second round. The 24-year-old Argentinian has reached two quarterfinals this season - Cordoba (lost to Federico Coria) and Buenos Aires (lost to Bernabe Zapata Miralles).

Cerundolo made an inspired run to the semifinals on his Miami debut last year before losing to Casper Ruud.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Cerundolo head-to-head

Auger-Aliassime has won both of his previous meetings with Cerundolo. The pair last met in the Indian Wells third round last fortnight, where the Canadian emerged triumphant in straight sets. Earlier, they clashed in the Australian Open third round, which Auger-Aliassime won in four sets.


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Cerundolo odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games (over/under)
Felix Auger-Aliassime-450-1.5 (-165)Over 21.5 (-125)
Francisco Cerundolo+320+1.5 (+120)Under 21.5 (-110)

(All odds as per BetMGM)


Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco Cerundolo prediction

Cerundolo is into the Miami third round.
Cerundolo is into the Miami third round.

Both Auger-Aliassime and Cerundolo are quintessential baseliners, but the Canadian takes the edge in terms of his superior hardcourt game and pedigree.

Auger-Aliassime has a potent game on hardcourt - serves big, hits powerfully off either flank and moves well. Cerundolo, meanwhile, has found most of his success on clay, but he did reach the Miami last four in 2022, demonstrating his hardcourt pedigree.

The two players match up well against each other, making this a tough contest to call. Nevertheless, the higher-ranked Auger-Aliassime should stop Cerundolo's bid to make back-to-back fourth-round appearances in Miami.

Prediction: Auger-Aliassime to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Anirudh Velamuri
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