Miami Open 2025: Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Rohit
Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka is one of the second-round matches at the Miami Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)
Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka is one of the second-round matches at the Miami Open 2025. (Photos: Getty)

Match Details

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Fixture: (11) Holger Rune vs (PR) Reilly Opelka

Date: March 22, 2025

Tournament: Miami Open 2025

Round: Second Round (Round of 64)

Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida, United States

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $9,193,540

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka preview

Holger Rune at the BNP Paribas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Holger Rune at the BNP Paribas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Eleventh seed Holger Rune will face Reilly Opelka in the second round of the Miami Open 2025.

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Before the BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells, Rune had won consecutive matches at only one tournament. He made the fourth round of the Australian Open and struggled to string back-to-back wins after that. However, his poor run of form ended at the season's first Masters 1000 tournament.

Rune tallied two top-10 wins by beating Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev to reach the Indian Wells final. It marked his first appearance in a Masters 1000 final since his runner-up finish at the Italian Open 2023. Jack Draper outplayed him in the final as he lost 6-2, 6-2. He received a bye into the second round of the Miami Open.

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Opelka, on the comeback trail, was up against compatriot Christopher Eubanks in the first round of the Miami Open. It marked his first appearance at the tournament since 2022.

The two were on even terms for the better part of the opening set, until Opelka bagged three games on the run towards the end to claim the set. The second set went down to the wire but he gained the upper hand in the tie-break to beat Eubanks 6-3, 7-6 (4).

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Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka head-to-head

This will be the first meeting between the two, so the head-to-head stands at 0-0 for now.


Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Holger Rune-250+1.5 (-700)
Over 23.5 (-105)
Reilly Opelka+195-1.5 (+375)
Under 23.5 (-140)
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(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Holger Rune vs Reilly Opelka prediction

Reilly Opelka at the BNP Paribas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)
Reilly Opelka at the BNP Paribas Open 2025. (Photo: Getty)

Opelka had a solid start to the season, reaching the final in Brisbane with a win over Novak Djokovic. However, an injury forced him to throw in the towel just minutes into the final. While he has been relatively healthy since then, he hasn't been able to match the same highs.

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Opelka took a step in the right direction with his win over Eubanks in his Miami opener. He didn't drop his serve even once and won 92 percent of his first serve points.

Rune's Indian Wells campaign ended on a heartbreaking note as Draper crushed him in the final. Nevertheless, there were plenty of positives, such as multiple wins over top 10 players in the same tournament for the first time in two years.

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Neither player has a record worth bragging in Miami. Rune has a 2-2 record, while Opelka improved to 3-3 after his win over Eubanks. The young Dane overcame some disappointing results to reach the Indian Wells final. He will be keen not to squander the momentum and will be hungry to get his campaign in Miami underway with a win.

Pick: Holger Rune to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Rohit
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