We asked AI to predict the winner of Carlos Alcaraz vs Jack Draper Indian Wells 2025 semifinal: Here's what it had to say

World No. 3 Carlos Alcaraz will take on World No. 14 Jack Draper in the semifinal of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Sunday, March 16. The former reached the last four with wins over Quentin Halys, Denis Shapovalov, Grigor Dimitrov and Francisco Cerundolo, while the latter defeated Joao Fonseca, Jenson Brooksby, Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton.

Alcaraz is aiming to defend his Indian Wells title, which he won last year by defeating Daniil Medvedev, while also chasing his first-ever Sunshine Double. Meanwhile, Draper is seeking his first title of the season and a breakthrough victory at the Masters 1000 level. As they gear up for the showdown, we turned to AI to predict the outcome of the match.

Google's Gemini AI has picked Carlos Alcaraz as the favorite to win, highlighting four key reasons. First, his dominance and exceptional form in Palm Springs give him an edge. Second, he holds a 3-1 lead in his head-to-head record against Jack Draper.

The third reason it provided is Alcaraz's impressive form in Indian Wells this year, having secured wins over top opponents. The fourth is that while Draper has shown strong form, he may struggle to match up against the Spaniard.

Image Source: Gemini AI

Image Source: Gemini AI

The duo previously faced off in Indian Wells in 2023, where Draper retired mid-match, handing Alcaraz the win. Their other encounters took place in Basel (2022), Queen's Club (2024), and the Australian Open (2025), with the Brit's only victory coming at Queen's Club.

Carlos Alcaraz makes his feelings known about taking on Jack Draper in Indian Wells 2025 SF

Carlos Alcaraz pictured at the 2025 Australian Open | Image Source: Getty

Carlos Alcaraz is in red-hot form, having stormed into the semifinals of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. The only obstacle between him and a spot in the final is Jack Draper. During a press conference, the Spaniard was asked about his thoughts on the upcoming clash and his opponent, to which he said:

"I think he has a lot of rhythm, a lot of pace, great shots. I think his style of play suits pretty well to these conditions well. I think his forehand with topspin bounce a lot, and big serve. I mean, the times that I have played against him, I think two of them he got injured, and the last one recently in Australia. So I'm just excited about playing him again."

Alcaraz admitted that Draper won’t make things easy for him on Sunday. He also predicted that the Brit would soon be one of the "toughest" competitors on the ATP Tour

"It seems he's in really good shape right now. I think he's ambitious, and he always go for it. So that's makes him a really tough opponent. I'm pretty sure he's gonna be one of the toughest on the tour in the future or in the next year," he said.

The winner will face either Daniil Medvedev or Holger Rune in the final.