World No. 6 Daniil Medvedev will take on World No. 13 Holger Rune in the semifinal of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Sunday, March 15. The former reached the last four with wins over Yunchaokete Bu, Alex Michelsen, Tommy Paul and Arthur Fils, while the latter defeated Corentin Moutet, Ugo Humbert, Stefanos Tsitsipas, and Tallon Griekspoor.
Medvedev, last year’s finalist, is determined to avenge his loss to Alcaraz and claim the Indian Wells title this time. On the other hand, Rune, who struggled with form earlier, has found his rhythm and is aiming for his first title of the season. As they gear up for their showdown, we turned to AI for a prediction of the match outcome.
Google's Gemini AI picked Daniil Medvedev as the favorite to win, citing three key reasons. First, he has more experience than Rune. Second, his 2-1 head-to-head advantage over the Dane. And third, his consistency, as he has been playing solid tennis throughout the tournament.


Medvedev and Rune previously faced off at Indian Wells in 2024, where the Russian dominated in straight sets in the quarterfinals. Their other two encounters came during the 2023 season at the Italian Open and the Monte-Carlo Masters, with the Dane securing a victory in Monte-Carlo.
Daniil Medvedev makes his feelings known about taking on Holger Rune in Indian Wells 2025 SF

Daniil Medvedev is in top form, having reached the semifinals of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells. The only obstacle between him and a spot in the final is Holger Rune. During a press conference, the Russian was asked to share his thoughts on the Dane ahead of their clash, to which he said:
"Talent is really, like, strong, great, I don't know how you say it, because he has, I would say, probably every shot that you can have in tennis. Good slice, good dropshot, good volley. He can spin, he can play flat, he can serve well, he can kick well. I feel like he has every shot."
Medvedev admitted that Rune can be inconsistent at times, but when he’s locked in, he’s a dangerous opponent. He added that he’s expecting a tough match and is ready for the challenge.
"I think we all see him, probably he knows that sometimes he's not consistent in beginning of tournaments, but when he's like deep there, he's a tough player to beat. So I'm expecting a tough match. I need to play well. I'm doing it right now. I'm looking forward," he said.
The winner will take on either Carlos Alcaraz or Jack Draper in the final on Monday.