Paris Masters 2024: Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Holger Rune (L) vs Alexander Bublik (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)
Holger Rune (L) vs Alexander Bublik (R) preview, (Source: Getty Images)

Match Details

Fixture: (13) Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik

Date: October 30, 2024

Tournament: Paris Masters 2024

Round: Second Round (Round of 32)

Venue: AccorHotels Arena, Bercy, Paris

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hard-court (Indoor)

Prize Money: $ 6,426,106

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN


Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik preview

Holger Rune (Getty)
Holger Rune (Getty)

One of the second-round matches at the 2024 Paris Masters will feature the 2022 Champion Holger Rune taking on Alexander Bublik. 2024 has been a season of unfulfilled potential for Rune. The Dane has a 42-22 record this year, with his best result coming in the very first event of the season at the Brisbane International, where he lost 6-7(5), 4-6 to Grigor Dimitrov in the final.

Apart from the result in Brisbane, the former World No. 4 has reached five hardcourt semifinals in 2024 — in Montepellier, Acapulco, Cincinnati, Tokyo, and the recent event in Basel where he lost 6-7(6), 4-6 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. The 13th seed started his Paris Masters campaign with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Matteo Arnaldi.

Alexander Bublik had a few great hardcourt results in the first half of the year. The Kazakh won his only title of 2024 at the Open 12, defeating former top-10 player Borna Coric in the final. He also reached the semifinal at the Adelaide International, losing to Jiri Lehecka, and another final at the Dubai Tennis Championships, where he lost to Ugo Humbert.

However, post the grasscourt season, the Kazakh player's form went off a cliff. Between the grass season and the Paris Masters, Bublik won just a solitary match in nine outings. In Bercy, he began his campaign with a competitive match against former top-10 player Fabio Fognini, winning it 7-5, 7-5.


Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik head-to-head

The head-to-head between the two players stands at 1-1. The last time they met was in a Round-of-64 match at the 2023 Madrid Open. Rune won the match 6-1, 4-6, 7-6(9).


Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik odds

Player NameMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Alexander Bublik+225+1.5 (-120)Under 22.5 (-130)
Holger Rune-300-1.5 (-120)Over 22.5 (-110)

(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)


Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik prediction

Rune is a past champion in Bercy, winning the title in 2022 in what was one of the best runs in an ATP Masters 1000 event in recent years. The Dane went through the likes of Stan Wawrinka, Hubert Hurkacz, Andrey Rublev, Carlos Alcaraz, and Felix Auger-Aliassime to reach the final. In the summit clash, Rune won 3-6, 6-3, 7-5 against Novak Djokovic to win the biggest title of his career so far.

On the other hand, Bublik has reached five indoor hard-court finals in his career, winning three titles, one of which came in Montpellier this year. The Kazakh also won the European title last year with a 6-4, 6-4 win over Arthur Fils in the final.

Rune will be the favorite in the upcoming match as a past champion and the higher-ranked player.

Pick- Rune to win in straight sets

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Edited by Parag Jain
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