Match Details
Fixture: (5) Andrey Rublev vs (8) Jack Draper
Date: February 22, 2025
Tournament: Qatar Open 2025
Round: Final
Venue: Khalifa International Tennis and Squash Complex, Doha, Qatar
Category: ATP 500
Surface: Hard
Prize Money: $3,035,960
Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN+
Andrey Rublev vs Jack Draper preview
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Fifth seed Andrey Rublev will face eighth seed Jack Draper in the final of the Qatar Open 2025.
Rublev moved past Alexander Bublik and Nuno Borges in the first two rounds, beating both with a score of 6-3, 6-4. He then survived a spirited challenge from Alex de Minaur to earn a hard-fought 6-1, 3-6, 7-6 (8) win over him and book a semifinal showdown against Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Rublev took the opening set with a single break of serve in his favor, and Auger-Aliassime returned the favor to capture the second set similarly. The two went toe-to-toe in the third set, with the Russian ultimately edging out his opponent in the tie-break to score a 7-5, 4-6, 7-6 (5) win.
Draper scored straight sets wins over Alexei Popyrin and Christopher O'Connell to make the last eight. He rallied from a set down to beat former top 10 player Matteo Berrettini 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 to book his spot in the semifinals, where Jiri Lehecka awaited him.
The two were on even footing at the start of the first set until Lehecka raised his level to bag three games in a row to take the set. Draper drew first blood in the second set to go up a break but was pegged back by his opponent rather quickly.
Nevertheless, Draper outplayed Lehecka in the ensuing tie-break to clinch the set. The young Brit finished the third set in a hurry as he reeled off the last four games of the match to wrap up a 3-6, 7-6 (2), 6-3 comeback win.
Andrey Rublev vs Jack Draper head-to-head
Rublev leads Draper 3-0 in the head-to-head. He won their previous encounter at the US Open 2023 in straight sets.
Andrey Rublev vs Jack Draper odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Andrey Rublev vs Jack Draper prediction
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Both players have had a similar road to the final. They won their first two matches in straight sets and were pushed to three sets in their next couple of matches. This has been Rublev's best week of the season. He had won four matches before the Qatar Open and has now tallied four wins in a row this week.
Draper hadn't contested a match since retiring from his fourth-round clash against Carlos Alcaraz at the Australian Open. He has put his best foot forward upon his return and extended his winning streak to nine matches at the ATP 500 level, dating back to his title-winning run at last year's Vienna Open.
Draper has guaranteed himself a new career-high ranking of No. 12 next week with his run to the final here. A title would improve it to No. 11, leaving him 110 points away from making his top 10 debut. He will be keen to overturn his dismal record against Rublev, who has won all three of their matches. The Brit has transformed into a different and better player since their previous showdown at the US Open 2023.
Both players are fine ball-strikers at their best, though Draper being a lefty gives him a slight advantage. The Brit's career has been on the upswing, and while Rublev's fortunes improved this week, his unbeaten run against his rival could finally end this time.
Pick: Jack Draper to win in three sets.