Shanghai Masters 2024: Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic, Shanghai Masters 2024 R2 (Picture: Getty)
Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic, Shanghai Masters 2024 R2 (Picture: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (8) Casper Ruud vs (Q) Aleksandar Vukic

Date: 4 October, 2024

Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024

Round: Second Round

Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena, Shanghai, China

Category: ATP Masters 1000

Surface: Hardcourt (Outdoor)

Prize Money: $8,995,555

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN | India - Sony


Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic preview

Casper Ruud in action at the 2024 Laver Cup (Picture: Getty)
Casper Ruud in action at the 2024 Laver Cup (Picture: Getty)

Eighth seed Casper Ruud is set to open his 2024 Shanghai campaign against Australian qualifier Aleksandar Vukic in a blockbuster second-round clash on Thursday, October 4.

Ruud claimed the biggest title of his career in Barcelona earlier this year, defeating Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final. He also won the title in Geneva. Additionally, Ruud reached the finals at the Monte Carlo Masters, as well as back-to-back finals in Los Cabos and Acapulco. His best Grand Slam result of the year came with a run to the semifinals at the French Open, where he lost to Alexander Zverev.

Ruud has, however, struggled with consistency, especially on hard courts. His North American hardcourt swing was disappointing, with a third-round exit in Montreal, an opening-round loss in Cincinnati, and a fourth-round defeat at the US Open to eventual finalist Taylor Fritz. He competed last at the Japan Open as the third seed but was upset in his opener by Jordan Thompson.

Vukic began his Shanghai campaign in the qualifiers as the second seed. He edged past Maxime Cressy in two tight sets, 6-4, 7-6(3), before delivering a more dominant performance against 20th seed Mitchell Krueger, winning 6-4, 6-4 in just over an hour to secure a spot in the main draw.

In the first round, Vukic faced Corentin Moutet. After a slow start and dropping the first set, he turned the match around, dominating play from all areas of the court to seal an emphatic 2-6, 6-3, 6-4 victory.


Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic head-to-head

Casper Ruud and Aleksandar Vukic have yet to face off in professional competition so their head-to-head stands at 0-0.


Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap BetTotal Games
Casper Ruud-275+1.5 (-900)Over 22.5 (-120)
Aleksandar Vukic+210-1.5 (+425)
Under 22.5 (-120)

(Odds sourced from BetMGM)


Casper Ruud vs Aleksandar Vukic prediction

Aleksandar Vukic in action at the 2024 Wimbledon Championships (Picture: Getty)
Aleksandar Vukic in action at the 2024 Wimbledon Championships (Picture: Getty)

It's no secret that hard courts aren't Casper Ruud's favored surface. He has suffered another underwhelming season on the surface, compiling a 23-10 match record on it so far this year, and having gone 4-4 since the end of Wimbledon. The Norwegian has struggled with consistency and has lacked the confidence to close out tight points and matches.

Vukic has also had a tough season on hard courts, with a 6-12 record so far. He has yet to win more than three consecutive main draw matches on the surface. Apart from a deep run in Winston-Salem last month, he has struggled for form since the start of the hardcourt swing in Atlanta, winning just four of his last nine matches.

Ruud enters the contest as the favorite, thanks to his stronger hardcourt record. His better overall record for the year and at the Masters 1000 should give him the edge over the less experienced Vukic.

Pick: Casper Ruud to win in straight sets.

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Edited by Shirsh
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