Shanghai Masters 2024: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi preview, head-to-head, prediction, and pick

Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi preview - Source - Getty
Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi preview (Source - Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: (5) Daniil Medvedev vs (29) Matteo Arnaldi

Date: October 5, 2024

Tournament: Shanghai Masters 2024

Round: Third Round

Venue: Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena in Shanghai, China

Category: ATP 1000

Surface: Hardcourt

Prize Money: $8,800,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | Canada - TSN


Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi preview

Medvedev celebrates a point in the 2024 China Open - Day 5 - Source: Getty
Medvedev celebrates a point in the 2024 China Open - Day 5 - Source: Getty

Fifth seed Daniil Medvedev will take on Matteo Arnaldi in the third round of the Shanghai Masters.

Medvedev will feel dissatisfied to have not won an individual title this year. After a runner-up finish in the Australian Open, he reached the finals in Indian Wells where he lost to Carlos Alcaraz in straight sets. He also reached the semifinals of the Miami Open but couldn't make his mark against Jannik Sinner.

The Russian entered Shanghai on the back of a successful run in the Laver Cup and a semifinal appearance in the China Open. He started his campaign with an impressive performance against Thiago Seyboth Wild, winning 7-5, 7-5. Medvedev is making his fifth appearance in the Shanghai Masters this year.

Arnaldi reacts after a point in the 2024 Davis Cup Finals - Source: Getty
Arnaldi reacts after a point in the 2024 Davis Cup Finals - Source: Getty

Matteo Arnaldi, meanwhile, has had an encouraging season so far in 2024. He's garnered 28 wins from 50 matches, including a semifinal run in the Canadian Open. He also reached the fourth round of the French Open where he lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas in four sets.

The Italian entered Shanghai on the back of a first-round exit in Tokyo. He started his campaign with a resilient comeback win against Zachary Svajda in the second round, 6-7(2), 6-2, 6-4. Arnaldi is making his second appearance in the Shanghai Masters this year.


Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi head-to-head

Medvedev leads the head-to-head against Arnaldi 3-0. He defeated the Italian most recently at the 2024 Madrid Open.


Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi odds

Player Name Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Daniil Medvedev
Matteo Arnaldi

(Odds will be updated once available)


Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi prediction

Medvedev attempts a volley in the 2024 China Open - Day 9 - Source: Getty
Medvedev attempts a volley in the 2024 China Open - Day 9 - Source: Getty

Daniil Medvedev is usually clinical during the final phase of the season. Despite his hard-fought losses in the Laver Cup, he turned things around with a last-four finish in Beijing this month. The Russian is close to securing his spot in the ATP Finals and will be eager to do the business in the Shanghai Masters.

Arnaldi, on the contrary, has stunned higher-ranked opponents such as Taylor Fritz, Andrey Rublev, and Ugo Humbert this season. He not only reached the fourth round in Paris but also made the last 16 in Miami and the quarterfinals in Barcelona.

A feisty encounter could be on the cards in the Qizhong Forest Sports City Arena tomorrow. Neither player would want to exit the tournament at this stage, but considering their record at the highest level, Medvedev should see this one through and enter the fourth round.

Pick: Medvedev to win in three sets.

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Edited by Prathik BR
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