Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview, head-to-head, prediction and pick | Australian Open 2025

Match Details

Fixture: (12) Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Date: January 19, 2025

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Prize Money: A$ 96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN & Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | India - Sony Sports & Sony LIV

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Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina preview

Tommy Paul celebrates after reaching Australian Open 4R (Image via Getty)

12th seed Tommy Paul will face Spain's Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in the Round of 16 at the 2025 Australian Open on Sunday (January 19).

Paul, who enjoyed a career-best season on the ATP Tour last year, began his 2025 by reaching the semifinals at the Adelaide International - a tune-up event to the Melbourne Slam. The American has given a good showing so far; after overcoming Christopher O'Connell in his opener, he was taken to five sets by Kei Nishikori in the second round.

The 27-year-old then dismantled Spain's Roberto Carballes Baena in the third round. Now, he will be eager to match his career-best result of reaching the semifinals (2023) at the Australian Open.

Davidovich Fokina, meanwhile, has displayed immense mental strength in his Melbourne campaign this week. The Spaniard won two back-to-back matches from two sets to love down in the second and the third round, where he got the better of talented young players like Felix Auger-Aliassime and Jakub Mensik, respectively.

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Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina head-to-head

Paul leads Davidovich Fokina by a margin of 3-0 in their head-to-head matches on the ATP Tour. The American beat his younger opponent thrice in 2023 at the Australian Open, the Miami Open, and the US Open.

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Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games (Over/Under)
Tommy Paul
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

(Odds will be updated once availiable).

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Tommy Paul vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina looks on at Australian Open 2025 (Image via Getty)

Paul is one of the best shotmakers on the ATP Tour with quick-strike strokes from both wings to boot. The World No. 11 is also very tactically astute as he likes coming towards the net following a 1-2 exchange.

Davidovich Fokina, meanwhile, is also gritty from the baseline thanks to his heavy cross-court forehand. However, he does have an underwhelming serve, which offsets his ability to stay with Paul in rallies to some extent.

The key for both players in this match-up will be to penetrate the forecourt as much as possible. Considering Davidovich Fokina has already spent more than eight hours on court in his last two wins, Paul will have the advantage in terms of physical conditioning when they meet in Melbourne.

Pick: Paul in four sets.