Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction and pick | Australian Open 2025

Tommy Paul and Alexander Zverev will meet for the third time.
Alexander Zverev (L) and Tommy Paul will meet for the third time [Images: Getty]

Match Details

Fixture: (12) Tommy Paul vs (2) Alexander Zverev

Date: January 21, 2025

Tournament: Australian Open 2025

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Melbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia

Category: Grand Slam

Surface: Hard (Outdoor)

Prize Money: A$96,500,000

Live Telecast: USA - ESPN & Tennis Channel | UK - Eurosport | India - Sony Sports & Sony LIV


Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev preview

Tommy Paul (L) and Alexander Zverev after their match at the 2022 Indian Wells Masters | Getty Images
Tommy Paul (L) and Alexander Zverev after their match at the 2022 Indian Wells Masters | Getty Images

World No. 2 Alexander Zverev will face the 12th seed Tommy Paul in the quarterfinals of the 2025 Australian Open on Tuesday, 21 January. 27-year-old Zverev has reached the last eight at the Australian Open for the fourth time and has not lost a match this season.

The German player won the first three matches at the 2025 Australian Open against Lucas Pouille, Pedro Martinez, and Jacob Fearnley without dropping a set and then lost one set in his 6-1, 2-6, 6-3, 6-2 win against Ugo Humbert in the fourth round. He has won 14 of his last 15 ATP Tour matches, which includes a title at the Paris Masters 1000 and three group-stage wins at the Nitto ATP Finals.

On the other hand, World No. 11 Paul needed five sets to beat Australia's Christopher O'Connell in the first round and defeated Kei Nishikori in four sets in the second round. He defeated the two Spaniards Roberto Carballes Baena (7-6(0), 6-2, 6-0 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (6-1, 6-1, 6-1) in the third and fourth rounds respectively, without dropping a set.

Tommy Paul at the 2025 Australian Open - Source: Getty
Tommy Paul at the 2025 Australian Open - Source: Getty

Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev head-to-head

Paul leads Zverev 2-0 in their head-to-head record, as he won both of their meetings on the hard court. Paul won their first match in 2020 at Acapulco 6-3, 6-4 and then edged the German out in a three-set thriller at the Indian Wells Masters in 2022.


Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev odds

PlayerMoneylineHandicap betsTotal games
Tommy PaulTBDTBDTBD
Alexander ZverevTBDTBDTBD

(Odds will be added when available)


Tommy Paul vs Alexander Zverev prediction

Zverev has a 29-9 win-loss record at Melbourne Park but has choked in the quarterfinal and semifinal stages here.

Zverev won the first two sets against Daniil Medvedev in the 2024 semifinals, but could not finish it off the match. In the 2020 semifinals, he won the first set against Dominic Thiem and lost. In 2021, he won the first set against Novak Djokovic before losing the next three.

It would be important for Paul to keep fighting, as he hopes to reach his second semifinal at the Australian Open, as he lost to Novak Djokovic in the semifinals of the 2023 Australian Open. 27-year-old Paul would have a psychological edge because of the better head-to-head record, so he would want to continue from where he left off in the fourth-round match against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.

Pick: Paul wins in five sets.

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Edited by Aayush Kapoor
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