United Cup 2025 final: Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff preview, head-to-head, prediction, odds and pick

Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff is one of the matches in the United Cup final (Image Source: Getty)
Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff is one of the matches in the United Cup final (Image Source: Getty)

Match Details

Fixture: Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff

Date: January 5, 2025

Tournament: United Cup 2025

Round: Final

Venue: Ken Rosewall Arena, Sydney, Australia

Category: United Cup

Surface: Outdoor Hardcourt

Prize Money: US$11,170,000

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN, RDS


Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff preview

Iga Swiatek in action at the United Cup (Image Source: Getty)
Iga Swiatek in action at the United Cup (Image Source: Getty)

World No. 2 Iga Swiatek will face World No. 3 Coco Gauff during the United Cup final between Poland and the United States. It will be the first match of the title clash.

Swiatek has played four matches so far in the United Cup and has come out on top in all of them. She beat Malene Helgo and Karolina Muchova during the group stages and came back from a set down to beat Katie Boulter during Poland's quarterfinal tie against Great Britain.

In the semifinals, Iga Swiatek faced Elena Rybakina and put in a fine show to beat the World No. 6 7-6(5), 6-4 to propel Poland to their second successive United Cup final, with Hubert Hurkacz having previously won his match over Alexander Shevchenko.

Coco Gauff competed in the United Cup for the very first time in her career and registered straight-set wins over Leylah Fernandez and Donna Vekic during the group stage to help the United States qualify for the quarterfinals.

The Americans faced China in the last eight, and Gauff was up against Zhang Shuai. The 20-year-old triumphed 7-6(4), 6-2 over the 35-year-old to give her team a 1-0 lead. The USA eventually won 3-0 to set up a semifinal clash against Czech Republic.

Here, Gauff faced Karolina Muchova and registered a comprehensive 6-1, 6-4 win to put her team 1-0 up. A win from Taylor Fritz and the doubles duo of Desirae Krawczyk and Denis Kudla saw the Americans register a 3-0 win and book their place in the final of the United Cup for the second time.


Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff head-to-head

Swiatek has an 11-2 lead in the head-to-head between the two but Gauff won their most recent encounter, beating the five-time Grand Slam champion 6-3, 6-4 in the round-robin of the WTA Finals in Riyadh


Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff odds

TennisMoneylineHandicap BetsTotal Games
Iga Swiatek-175-1.5 (+135)Over 21.5 (-130)
Coco Gauff+130+1.5 (-200)Under 21.5 (-110)

All odds are sourced from BETMGM.


Iga Swiatek vs Coco Gauff prediction

Swiatek's superior head-to-head record makes her the favorite entering the match. However, Gauff won their last encounter, which took place on hard courts, not to forget the level of her performances since her disappointing US Open exit.

Swiatek's first-serve numbers during the United Cup haven't been particularly impressive, as she won 137 out of 198 points on it (69.2%). The Pole has served 11 aces while accumulating nine double faults. The World No. 2 will look to make good use of her blend of aggression and counter-punching, not to forget her mentality.

Gauff's first-serve numbers during the tournament so far have been better compared to Swiatek's, as she has won 125 out of 167 points (74.9%), serving 13 aces. However, her second serve, which had been an issue before, has not been particularly impressive, as she won just 37 out of 84 points (44.44%) on it. The 20-year-old will look to be aggressive from the start in order to put the Pole under pressure.

While Gauff has looked in good nick lately, there is a fair chance of Swiatek edging her and giving Poland the lead.

Pick: Swiatek to win in three sets.

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Edited by Neelabhra Roy
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