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Match Details
Fixture: (7) Jasmine Paolini vs (12) Madison Keys
Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024
Tournament: Wimbledon 2024
Round: Fourth Round (Round of 16)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Grass
Prize: £50,000,000
Where to Watch: USA - Tennis Channel & ESPN | India - Disney+ Hotstar | UK - BBC | Canada - TSN
Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys preview
The fourth round of Wimbledon 2024 will see a high-octane clash between the 7th-seeded Jasmine Paolini and 12th-seeded Madison Keys. 2024 has proved to be a breakthrough year for Paolini. She won the Dubai Tennis Championships title, beating Anna Kalinskaya in the final.
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The Italian made an incredible run to the French Open final before losing to Iga Swiatek. As a result, Paolini broke into the Top 10 on the WTA rankings for the first time.
In the grass-court season, the current World No. 7 played only one event before playing at SW19. She made it to the semifinals of the Rothesay International in Eastbourne, where she lost to eventual champion Daria Kasatkina.
Paolini is yet to drop a set at this year's Wimbledon. In the first two rounds, the seventh seed defeated Sara SorribesTormo and Greet Minnen. In the third round, Paolini defeated former Grand Slam Champion Bianca Andreescu in straight sets.
Madison Keys's best result of the season has been winning the Internationaux de Strasbourg on clay, defeating Danielle Collins in the final. During the grass season, Keys reached the semifinals of the Rothesay International in Eastbourne, losing to eventual runner-up Leylah Fernandez.
Keys is also yet to drop a set so far in Wimbledon 2024. The twelfth seed won against Martina Trevisan and Wang Yafan in the first and second rounds. The third round presented Keys with the toughest challenge in the event so far, as she squared off against 18th-seeded Marta Kostyuk. The American won the match in straight sets 6-4, 6-3.
Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys head-to-head
Keys leads the head-to-head 1-0. The American player won the only completed match between the pair in Dubai last year. Keys won the match comprehensively 6-1, 6-1.
Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys odds
(Odds are sourced from BetMGM)
Jasmine Paolini vs Madison Keys prediction
Paolini has been serving well, winning 76% of her first serve points against a solid returner like Andreescu in the previous match. The Italian only faced one break point in the whole match and converted 4 of the 7 break point opportunities that she got. Paolini also came to the net 17 times, winning 82% of the net points.
Keys won 71% of her first serve points in her match against Kostyuk. While returning, the American won 50% of the points on her opponent's second serve. She came to the net 22 times, winning 73% of the net points.
Even though Paolini is the higher-seeded player, Key comes into this match as the slight favorite. 2024 is the first time that Paolini has won matches at Wimbledon. On the other hand, this is the tenth time Keys is at Wimbledon and has a 22-9 record at the grass-court major before 2024. The experience should give the American an advantage.
Pick- Keys to win in three sets
