Which titles are likeliest to change at Money in the Bank 2019?

Tonight is WWE's Money in the Bank pay per view. Obviously, the key selling point will be the two respective ladder matches from which the event gets its name, but there will also be six championships up for grabs on the evening.

WWE usually likes at least one title to change hands on the occasion of a pay per view. So of the six, which one is the likeliest to change hands? Which the least?

Let's take a look at things that are and things to come to see what might go down tonight.

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#6 Cruiserweight Championship

Tony Nese's reign as Cruiserweight Champion is just getting started, and it is unlikely indeed that the Premier Athlete will lose his championship this early.

Ariya Daivari should be a good opponent for his first pay per view title defense, but this match feels more like a showcase for what Tony Nese can do with the purple strap than about telling a story about his opponent's rise to the championship.

The man that unseated Buddy Murphy won't be losing his title this early and to this opponent.

Odds of a title change - 0%

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#5 Universal Championship

You can never rule AJ Styles out. The former "indy darling" has become a full-blown company favorite. Yet, this rivalry doesn't feel like a big enough deal for a title change. It feels more like filler, unfortunately.

Aside from that, Seth Rollins' reign is just getting started, and it certainly doesn't feel like the man that took the title from Brock Lesnar is going to be losing this early. Unfortunately, one of those reasons might be because he'll have a rematch with Lesnar in Saudi Arabia. Another unfortunate reason is that he's being advertised to defend his title against Baron Corbin at Extreme Rules.

Hard days are ahead of the champion.

Odds of a title change - 10%

#4 Raw Women's Championship

The younger of "McMahon's twins" is the less likely of the two to walk out of Money in the Bank with a championship title. Lacey Evans has made somewhat of a name for herself with her character work, but in the ring, she's just not there, and it feels far too soon, both for her and the fans, to put a championship on her. It would be setting Evans up for failure.

According to reports that have been going around recently, Vince McMahon is higher on Lacey Evans than any other NXT call-up in recent memory due to her look and background, so one can never rule out a shock title change tonight.

Still, the far more likely course is that Becky Lynch will beat Lacey Evans, probably in the first match, and retain her first championship - the RAW Women's championship.

Odds of a title change - 25%

#3 United States Championship

On the one hand, Samoa Joe was pinned by Rey Mysterio on television. That almost always means that the champion goes on to retain his title in the match that really matters. It's one of WWE's most annoying booking formulas.

On the other hand, Samoa Joe has been the victim of horrendous booking too many times to count. Whenever he gets hot, the company pulls the plug for baffling reasons.

Rey Mysterio only has this title to win before he becomes a "grand slam champion" and we all know how WWE loves to hand out meaningless accolades for meaningless branding purposes. The presence of Dominick also makes Mysterio likelier to win than the standard formula would ordinarily have it.

Still, WWE's booking tropes are so strong and so predictable that we should rely on 50/50 champion booking to prevail.

Odds of a title change - 40%

#2 SmackDown Women's Championship

It's Charlotte Flair who hasn't gotten a major win on pay per view since SummerSlam, but still is in the title picture for some baffling reason. She's the company favorite of all company favorites, and if there's one booking trope that WWE has loosened up on in the past few months, it's the "standing tall" one. "Standing tall" on the go-home show no longer means a loss on pay per view.

In other words, Charlotte Flair's odds of finally getting one over on Becky and sending her to Raw are higher than we might believe, despite what happened on Monday night.

Then there's the Money in the Bank briefcase holder lurking around. When Becky loses one of those titles, it's likely to be the SmackDown one, simply to "create separation" from Charlotte on the blue brand, and because Raw needs her more.

Still, the odds of a title change here don't seem quite as high as they did last week, and Becky has a better chance now.

Odds of a title change - 50%

#1 WWE Championship

Kofi Kingston has been presented incredibly well as WWE Champion, but it almost feels like they're doing such a sprint with him because he was never meant to be a champion, let alone a long-term one.

SmackDown's move to Fox this fall should be the thing that dominates attention here. Kofi Kingston doesn't seem like the man the company will want to promote holding the title when that move comes. Roman Reigns is the far likelier man for that job.

To get the title on to Roman Reigns, the company will need a transitional heel champion to lose to him at SummerSlam. Kevin Owens fits that description perfectly.

There is a decent chance that WWE will continue to run with Kofi Kingston as champion, but there's also a decent chance that Vince McMahon will blame him (rather than his own boring, formulaic style) for SmackDown's low ratings (another record this week). This will lead him to further rely on Roman Reigns.

Odds of a title change - 70%