#3 United States Championship
On the one hand, Samoa Joe was pinned by Rey Mysterio on television. That almost always means that the champion goes on to retain his title in the match that really matters. It's one of WWE's most annoying booking formulas.
On the other hand, Samoa Joe has been the victim of horrendous booking too many times to count. Whenever he gets hot, the company pulls the plug for baffling reasons.
Rey Mysterio only has this title to win before he becomes a "grand slam champion" and we all know how WWE loves to hand out meaningless accolades for meaningless branding purposes. The presence of Dominick also makes Mysterio likelier to win than the standard formula would ordinarily have it.
Still, WWE's booking tropes are so strong and so predictable that we should rely on 50/50 champion booking to prevail.
Odds of a title change - 40%