Marlins vs. Dodgers: Game 1, prediction, odds, injuries and picks

The Los Angeles Dodgers will attempt to take the first step towards winning back-to-back series on Monday night when they welcome the Miami Marlins into Chavez Ravine for the first of a three-game series.

Dustin May will look to get back into the win column following his worst start of the year against the Cubs, while the Marlins will counter with Edward Cabrera, who will be making his first road start of 2025.

Marlins vs. Dodgers recent form and records

Miami

The Marlins dropped a fifth straight road series over the weekend after the Mariners took two of three by outscoring Miami 25-14 throughout the three-game set.

The defeat dropped Clayton McCullough's troops to 4-7 away from loanDepot Park, where they've still made their supporters $221 overall due to being installed heavy underdogs in all 11 games. The Fish clock in as the league's sixth-most lucrative team for baseball bettors ($289), regardless of bringing up the rear of the NL East.

Los Angeles

Dave Roberts' Dodgers currently find themselves in the midst of a logjam atop the NL West standings. At 18-10 overall, they're a half-game behind the front-running Giants with the Padres right in their rearview mirror.

Since getting out to a scorching hot start, Los Angeles has been mediocre at best for MLB bettors, with the team splitting their last eight games. LA has been at its best in the comforts of Dodger Stadium, where it won 10 of 13 overall games ($69).

Injuries

Miami

Rob Brantly C 10 Day IL - Lat
Derek Hill LF 10 Day IL - Hand
Nick Fortes C 10 Day IL - Oblique
Ryan Weathers SP 15 Day IL - Forearm
Declan Cronin RP 15 Day IL - Hip
Griffin Conine LF 60 Day IL - Arm
Andrew Nardi RP 60 Day IL - Back
Eury Perez SP 60 Day IL - Elbow
Braxton Garrett SP 60 Day IL - Elbow

Los Angeles

Tyler Glasnow SP Day To Day - Shoulder
Blake Treinen RP 15 Day IL - Forearm
Michael Kopech RP 15 Day IL - Shoulder
Tony Gonsolin SP 15 Day IL - Back
Blake Snell SP 15 Day IL - Shoulder
Kyle Hurt SP 60 Day IL - Elbow
Edgardo Henriquez SP 60 Day IL - Foot
Emmet Sheehan SP 60 Day IL - Elbow
Clayton Kershaw SP 60 Day IL - Toe
Michael Grove RP 60 Day IL - Shoulder
Brusdar Graterol RP 60 Day IL - Shoulder
River Ryan SP 60 Day IL - Elbow
Gavin Stone SP 60 Day IL - Shoulder

Starting Pitchers

Edward Cabrera (0-1, 6.14 ERA in 2025)

Allowed 13 hits (3 HR) & 10 ER with an 18:8 K/BB ratio in three 2025 starts.
Tossed 5.0 IP of 5 hits (1 HR) & 3 ER ball with 7:2 K/BB ratio vs. Cincinnati last start.
1-3 with a 10.93 ERA & 17:14 K/BB ratio in 14.0 career IP thrown vs. the Dodgers.
This will be his first road start of 2025.

Dustin May (1-1, 3.68 ERA in 2025)

Allowed 17 hits (1 HR) & 9 ER with a 19:9 K/BB ratio in four 2025 starts.
Tossed 5.0 IP of 10 hits (1 HR) and 7 ER ball with 5:3 K/BB ratio at Chicago last start.
1-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 13:3 K/BB ratio in 11.0 IP at home in 2025.
2-1 with a 1.08 ERA & 18:4 K/BB ratio in 16.2 career IP thrown vs. the Marlins.

Must-Watch Hitters

Miami

Agustin Ramirez has done nothing but hit the ball since getting his call to the show back on April 21. The Marlins' catcher is 9-for-19 with seven of those hits going for extra bases.

He reached the cheap seats twice in Sunday's finale at Seattle, so look for his hot bat to carry over and make some noise before opposing pitchers figure him out. He's 7/1 to go yard tonight.

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Los Angeles

Edward Cabrera has tallied at least one strikeout against a bulk of the Dodgers' batting lineup. That isn't the case with Shohei Ohtani, who is 2-for-5 lifetime against the right-hander with a double and a pair of walks.

The reigning NL MVP appears to be coming out of his funk recently, having hit safely in two straight games with three doubles and a triple. It's only a matter of time until he launches his seventh homer into the night, and he's 3/1 to do so tonight.

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Marlins vs. Dodgers Betting Odds

Monday 4/28	Money Line	Run Line	Total Runs
Miami Marlins	+225	+1.5 +114	O 8.5 -105
Los Angeles Dodgers	-278	-1.5 -115	U 8.5 -115

Marlins vs. Dodgers expert picks and game prediction

With the Marlins only batting .238 with a 94 wRC+ against righties over the last two weeks, they're not likely to do much damage against Dustin May. Surprisingly, Los Angeles hasn't been much better against right-handed pitching during that same stretch, and Edward Cabrera has been slightly better at limiting walks through his first three starts.

A sneaky pitcher's duel could break out early on, so bet on the first five innings to go under the total at DraftKings Sportsbook in tonight's series opener.

Marlins vs. Dodgers Prediction: Los Angeles Wins 4-3

About the author

Mike earned a Bachelor of Science in Human Biology from the University of Kansas with dreams of becoming an orthopedic surgeon and team physician. However, his career path took a different turn as he ventured into sports handicapping, writing, and editing.

While preparing for the MCAT, Mike applied to contribute to a site offering free sports picks, which proved to be a pivotal step. His success there garnered interest from larger platforms and startups. Despite his efforts, organic chemistry derailed his medical school ambitions, and he chose to shift fully into sports betting and fantasy sports content creation.

Over a 20-year career, Mike has navigated the highs and lows of professional sports betting. His experience spans working on a late-night sports talk radio show, covering the Chicago Rush in the Arena Football League, managing a content distribution company, owning and operating a vape shop, and creating one of the first profitable DFS affiliate sites—an endeavor that helped buy his current home.

When offline, Mike enjoys working out his green thumb, coaching his son’s sports teams, hosting tea parties with his daughter, and relaxing with his wife and friends. A die-hard Kansas Jayhawks fan, he also proudly bleeds Cubbie blue.

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Edited by Mike Rose