Orioles vs. Red Sox: Game 1 predictions, odds and picks — Sept 9, MLB 2024

On Monday, the Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles will dig in for the final series of the 2024 MLB season between the two teams. Although the two AL East teams stare down vastly divergent statistical realities, both will be looking to put their best foot forward.

Of the 10 meetings between these two teams so far this season, Baltimore has walked away victorious in seven. However, in their last series in mid August, it was the Red Sox who took two out of three fixtures.

Orioles vs Red Sox recent form and records

The Orioles, now 82-62, sit just half a game behind the New York Yankees, who hold the top spot in the AL East. With a 5-5 record over its last 10, Baltimore was handed an unexpected series loss at the hands of Tampa Bay over the weekend.

For the Red Sox, the situation is bleaker. Now 72-71, they sit 10 games behind the O's in the AL East. With a 3-7 record in their last 10 games, the Sox are four games behind the Minnesota Twins, who sit in the AL's third and final Wild Card slot.

Players to Watch

Starting Pitchers

BAL: Cade Povich (2-7, 5.76 ERA) vs BOS: Brayan Bello (12-7, 4.75 ERA)

Povich has a 1.601 WHIP, 3.9 BB/9 and 47 K in 59.1 IP.

Last Start: Win, 7.1 IP, 5 H, 0 ER, 0 BB, 10 K vs CWS

Career vs BOS: 0-0 2.84 ERA (6.2 IP, 2 ER) 0 HR in 1 Game

Bello has a 1.380 WHIP, 3.4 BB/9 and 135 K in 142 IP.

Last Start: Loss, 5 IP, 7 H, 4 ER, 1 BB, 4 K vs NYM

Career vs AZ: 3-2 3.71 ERA (26.2 IP, 11 ER) 1 HR in 5 Games

Must-Watch Hitters

Orioles

O's centerfielder Cedric Mullins has been on quite the roll. Over the past week, Mullins' .450 batting average ranks fourth in MLB. Moreover, the 29-year-old has contributed with two home runs and five RBIs during that period of time.

Shortstop Gunnar Henderson has also been swinging a red-hot bat. A .317 hitter over his past six games, Henderson has connected for a team-best three home runs and 10 hits over his last 24 at-bats.

"Gunnar Henderson now holds the single-season home run record by an @Orioles shortstop with 35!" - MLB

In 70 career games against the Boston Red Sox, Anthony Santander boasts 14 home runs and 49 RBIs. Having already hit a career-high 39 home runs this season, the Venezuelan slugger is six RBIs away from reaching a career figure there as well.

Red Sox

Although Tyler O'Neill has only hit .217 over his past 13 games, the Canadian outfielder has come up with big hits when it has mattered. In his last 46 at-bats, O'Neill has slugged five home runs and seven RBIs.

"Tyler O'Neill: 2. Green Monster: 0" - MLB

A .296 hitter over the last fortnight, Jarren Duran has 12 RBIs in 19 career games against the O's. Moreover, the Boston outfielder leads MLB in doubles and triples, with 44 and 13, respectively.

An even .333 hitter over the course of his past five games, catcher Conor Wong boasts a .944 OPS over the past week of action.

Orioles vs Red Sox baseball betting odds

Monday 9/9	Money Line	Run Spread	Total Runs
Baltimore Orioles	-105	-1.5 +155	O 9.5 -105
Boston Red Sox	-115	+1.5 -190	U 9.5 -115

Orioles vs Red Sox expert picks and game prediction

Both the O's and Red Sox rank in the bottom 10 of MLB teams when it comes to runs scored over the past week of play. However, the Red Sox have been slightly more desperate over that time.

Judging by the season record, the Orioles have dominated the Red Sox this year. Given the fact that the Orioles rank second in home runs hit, and the Sox seventh in home runs allowed, we can expect a slugfest from Baltimore in this one.

Run Line: -1.5 +155

Total Runs: O 0.5 -105

Prediction: Orioles W, 12-5