Phillies vs. Mets: Game 4 predictions, odds and picks — Sept 22, MLB 2024

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies have been trading blows in their ongoing series, with Philadelphia sandwiching a 12-2 win on Friday between two solid victories for the New York Mets in Queens. As they head into their 13th meeting of the season, the Phillies lead the matchup 7-5 in 2024.

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Phillies vs. Mets recent form and records

The Phillies' magic number is down to one as they are chasing the NL East division title for the first time since 2011. Before their current series, they had mixed results, sweeping the Rays, winning three at home against the Mets and losing against the Brewers.

The Mets cannot slip up with the Braves just two games behind in contention for the last NL Wild Card spot. They have produced good results with seven wins in their last ten games despite facing crucial injuries to key players like Francisco Lindor.

Players to Watch

Starting Pitchers

Zack Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, 205 SO) vs. Tylor Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA, 1.26 WHIP, 77 SO)

Phillies will have their ace Zack Wheeler on the mound, looking to improve on what has been yet another Cy Young contending season.

Last Start: vs. Brewers, 7.0 innings pitched, 4 hits, 1 earned run, 0 walks, 6 strikeouts

Career vs. Mets: 5-4, 3.64 ERA with 85 strikeouts in 14 appearances

With Megill on the mound, the Mets have had winning results in his last four games.

Last Start: vs. Nationals, 6.0 innings pitched, 2 hits, 1 run, 0 earned runs, 2 walks, 4 strikeouts

Career vs. Phillies: 3-1, 2.54 ERA with 28 strikeouts in 5 appearances

Must Watch Hitters

Phillies

Bryce Harper is back in form hitting at .319 with 23 hits and a .951 OPS all of September. Nick Castellanos has six RBIs, including three home runs in his last ten games.

Mets

Lindor's replacement Luisangel Acuna has hit 10-for-26 in his eight games in the MLB so far. Backstop Francisco Alvarez has amassed 13 RBIs with five home runs in his last ten outings.

Phillies vs. Mets betting odds

Moneyline	Run Spread	Total Runs
Phillies -160	Phillies -1.5 (-110)	Phillies O 7 (+100)
Mets +135	Mets +1.5 (-135)	Mets U 7 (-120)

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Phillies vs. Mets expert picks and prediction

Philadelphia enters as favorites with Zack Wheeler on the mound. However, this outing will be closer than expected as Tylor Megill has gone 12.0 scoreless innings in his last two outings. The Mets have an edge with their lineup hitting .268 compared to the Phillies' .233 in the last ten games.

Moneyline: Under 1.5

Total Runs: Over 7

Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 2