Japan Open 2024: Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils preview, head-to-head, prediction, and pick

Match Details

Fixture: (6) Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils

Date: October 1

Tournament: Japan Open 2024

Round: Semifinal

Venue: Ariake Colesium, Tokyo, Japan

Category: ATP 500

Surface: Hard

Prize Money: $1,818,310

Live Telecast: USA - Tennis Channel | UK - Sky Sports | Canada - TSN

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Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils head-to-head

Holger Rune will lock horns with Arthur Fils for a spot in the 2024 Japan Open final. Both men came through hard-fought wins to make it to the last-four.

Rune, the sixth seed at the tournament, has faced tough challenges in two of his three matches this week. He overcame Kei Nishikori 3-6, 6-2, 7-5 in the quarterfinals and Alejandro Tabilo 6-2, 5-7, 6-4.

The Dane’s 2024 season has seen him go 36-19 in terms of wins and losses. However, his record is highlighted by a solitary final appearance at the Brisbane tournament at the beginning of the year.

Fils upset Ben Shelton in his last match (Image from Getty)

Fils, meanwhile, continues to break new ground for himself. The talented 20-year-old has scored big wins over the likes of Taylor Fritz and Ben Shelton this week and now finds himself just one win away from a second ATP 500 final.

The Frenchman, who also made the Wimbledon fourth round a couple of months ago, has quietly put together a solid 30-23 win-loss record for the season.

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Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils head-to-head

Rune and Fils have split their last two meetings, so their current head-to-head stands at a 1-1 deadlock. The Frenchman won their most recent encounter, which came at this year's Hamburg Open, after his opponent was forced to retire mid-match.

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Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils odds

Player	Moneyline	Handicap Bets	Total Games
Holger Rune
Arthur Fils

(Odds will be added when available.)

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Holger Rune vs Arthur Fils prediction

In Picture: Holger Rune (Image from Getty)

Holger Rune and Arthur Fils have both eked out some tight wins over the course of the tournament, and given their recent performances, this one could also go down to the wire. Both men also play similar brands of tennis, using their incredible scrambling skills and counterpunching abilities to wear opponents down.

Rune, however, faced significant hurdles the last time that these two played, failing to create even a single break opportunity. Although the match ended with his retirement, he can still take valuable lessons from it.

Fils' serve remains a formidable weapon. He has fired down 20 aces and won over 75% of points behind his first serve. Rune will need to exert extra effort to break through Fils' serve. The Dane has struggled with breakpoints, converting less than half of his opportunities, and this inefficiency will not suffice against the Frenchman.

Given his recent early exits, Rune will face increased pressure to perform well. Considering these factors, including his opponent's strengths, the match may lean slightly in Fils' favor.

Prediction: Fils to win in three sets.