Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Game preview, predictions and odds | January 25, 2025

The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Ottawa Senators at 7:00 pm EST on Saturday. Toronto is having a much better start to the season, as they're No. 1 in the Atlantic Division standings with a 30-17-2 record and 62 points. The Senators are 24-20-4 with 52 points, 10 points behind the Leafs heading into the game.

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Senators vs. Maple Leafs: Head-to-Head and Key Stats

• The Senators are 74-55-3-13 all-time against the Maple Leafs.
• The Senators are 40-23-1-8 at home against Toronto.
• Ottawa shut out the Maple Leafs in the first matchup this season.
• Toronto has won four of the last five games against Ottawa.
• The Leafs lead the all-time score 536-522.
• The Senators average 3.07 goals at home against the Leafs.

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Ottawa Senators vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Game Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been one of the best teams in the NHL this year despite having a ton of injuries to deal with. The Ottawa Senators, meanwhile, are fighting for a playoff spot a few spots down in the Eastern Conference standings.

Those injuries have no end in sight for Toronto. Goalie Anthony Stolarz remains out for at least a week. Forward John Tavares has no return timetable. Matthew Knies is also out for a week. Center Calle Jarnkrok and defenseman Jani Hakaanpa are on IR. Center Connor Dewar is day-to-day.

The Toronto Maple Leafs are favored (Credits: IMAGN)

On the Ottawa side, goalie Linus Ullmark is also on Injured Reserve. He's joined by Jacob Bernard-Docker, Travis Hamonick, and Noah Gregor. Jake Sanderson and Cole Reinhardt are day-to-day, while Josh Norris is out.

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Senators vs. Leafs Betting Tips

• The Maple Leafs are 21-14-1 as favorites this year.
• The Senators are 11-11 as the underdog.
• The Maple Leafs are 25-24 against the spread and 10-10 ATS on the road.
• The Senators are 19-29 against the spread and 7-14 ATS at home.

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Senators vs. Maple Leafs Odds and Predictions

• The Toronto Maple Leafs are slight favorites to win at -115.
• The Ottawa Senators are -111 on the moneyline.
• The puck line is Leafs -1.5, which is +235.
• The Senators are -285 to cover.
• The total is set at six goals, and the over is +105. The under is -121.

The Maple Leafs are expected to win despite the injuries and being on the road. They do not win handily, though, allowing the Senators to cover. The two sides, without their best goalies, will score a lot, hitting the over.

Prediction: Maple Leafs 5, Senators 4.