Tampa Bay Lightning vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Game preview, predictions and odds | Jan. 20, 2025

The Toronto Maple Leafs are back in action on Monday at 7:30 p.m. EST when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs return home from a trip to Montreal on Saturday where they earned a 7-3 comeback victory. Toronto enters play leading the Atlantic division with a 29-16-2 (60 points) record, while Tampa Bay is third at 25-16-3 (53 points).

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Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Head-to-head and key numbers

• The Leafs are 64-39-2-8 all-time against the Lightning.
• They are 33-20-1-3 at home against Tampa Bay.
• Toronto has won both matchups this season. The two teams will face off once more in Tampa Bay on March 9th.
• Toronto averages 3.09 goals per game against Tampa.
• Tampa averages 2.88 goals per game against the Leafs.

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Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs have won their last two games in comeback fashion. Despite dropping three straight last week, Toronto has maintained its lead atop the Atlantic division.

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs at Tampa Bay Lightning - Source: Imagn

Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay Lightning have also won their last two games. The Bolts have 53 points and third place in the Atlantic division, although they have three games on hand.

Toronto's notable injury absences are center John Tavares (lower body), who got hurt during a practice session last week, and goaltender Anthony Stolarz (knee) who remains on IR. Tampa Bay's only injured player is defenseman Janis Moser, who has been sidelined for a month with a lower-body injury.

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Leafs vs Lightning betting tips

• Toronto is 20-13-1 as favorites.
• Tampa Bay is 6-9-1 as underdogs.
• The Leafs are 24-23 against the spread and 14-13 ATS at home.
• The Lightning are 24-20 against the spread and 12-10 ATS on the road.

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Maple Leafs vs Lightning: Odds and Predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs are slightly favored to beat the Tampa Bay Lightning at Scotiabank Arena on Monday. Here are the official odds, per FanDuel Sportsbook.

• Toronto is -132 to win on the moneyline.
• Tampa Bay is +110 to win on the moneyline.
• The puck line is Toronto -1.5, which is +184.
• The over/under is 6.5 total goals.
• The over-goal total is +116, while the under-goal total is -142.

Prediction:

The Toronto Maple Leafs have had success against the Lightning this season and that will continue on Monday. Toronto's high-end talent will take over and Tampa Bay will have trouble solving Joseph Woll enough to keep up.

Maple Leafs 4, Lightning 2.