Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins: Game preview, predictions and odds | March 2, 2025

NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers - Source: Imagn
NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs at New York Rangers - Source: Imagn

The Toronto Maple Leafs finish a three-game road trip on Sunday afternoon in Pittsburgh against the Penguins at PPG Paints Arena. Toronto (37-20-2) has gone 2-0-0 on the trip, most recently defeating the Rangers 3-2 on Friday night. Pittsburgh (24-29-9) lost 3-2 to Boston on Saturday afternoon.

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Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: Head-to-head and key numbers

  • The Leafs have a 90-85-17-7 record against the Pens.
  • The Leafs are 39-51-6-4 on the road against the Penguins.
  • The teams have split the season series thus far. Sunday is the third and final matchup in 2024-25.
  • Toronto averages 3.09 per game against Pittsburgh.
  • The Penguins average 3.29 goals per game against the Maple Leafs.
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Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Pittsburgh Penguins: Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs have returned from the Four Nations break with a bang, winning four consecutive games heading into Sunday’s matchup in Pittsburgh.

The Maple Leafs (76 points) currently hold the second seed in a tight Atlantic Division race, sitting one point behind the Florida Panthers (77 points) and two points ahead of the Tampa Bay Lightning (74 points).

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Meanwhile, Pittsburgh (57 points) has fallen far out of the playoff race, sitting 11 points behind the final Eastern Conference wild-card spot.

Toronto will remain without Chris Tanev (upper body), Max Pacioretty (undisclosed) and Connor Dewar (upper body). Tanev is day-to-day, while Pacioretty and Dewar are on IR.

Pittsburgh is missing former Michael Bunting (abdomen) is out after undergoing an appendectomy, while Pierre-Olivier Joseph (upper body) is questionable after leaving Saturday’s game early.

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NHL: Maple Leafs celebrate goal against Penguins - Source: Imagn
NHL: Maple Leafs celebrate goal against Penguins - Source: Imagn

Maple Leafs vs. Penguins: Odds and Predictions

Toronto enters Sunday’s game as a heavy road favorite at PPG Paints Arena. Here are the latest odds, courtesy of Odds Shark.

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  • Toronto is -172 to win on the moneyline.
  • Pittsburgh is +138 to win on the moneyline.
  • The puck line is Toronto -2, which is +235.
  • The over/under is 6.5 goals.
  • The over-goals is -106, while the under-goals is -110.

Prediction:

The Maple Leafs should complete a three-game road sweep with a win over the struggling Penguins on Sunday afternoon. While Pittsburgh can generate offense, its defensive struggles will allow Toronto to capitalize.

Score Prediction: Maple Leafs 5, Penguins 3

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Edited by John Ezekiel Hirro
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