5 sleeper picks to watch at the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open ft. Aaron Rai

PGA: BMW Championship - First Round - Source: Imagn — Aaron Rai - Source: Imagn images

The Farmers Insurance Open is the fourth tournament in the PGA Tour roster after the American Express which was won by Sepp Straka with a score of 25 under. The Farmers Insurance Open will take place at the Torrey Pines South Course from January 22 - 25 and features a star-studded field that includes Hideki Matsuyama and Ludvig Aberg.

The event is headlined by defending champion Matthieu Pavon, who won the tournament last year with 13 under.

This year, some underdogs have a promising chance to clinch the winner's share of the $9.3 million prize purse. On that note, below is a list of 5 sleeper picks for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open:

5 sleeper picks for the 2025 Farmers Insurance Open

#1 - Aaron Rai

Aaron Rai’s odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open are +5000, as per the PGA Tour's official website. He played in the tournament last year and finished at T33 with 5 under 283. In 2023 and 2022, he played in the Pete Dye Stadium Course tournament and finished at T52 and T6 with 3 over 291 and 13 under 275, respectively.

This year, he only played at the Sentry Tournament on the PGA Tour and finished at T15, carding 68, 71, 66, and 66 over the four rounds.

#2 - Beau Hossler

Beau Hossler’s odds to win the tournament are +850. He played in the event in 2024 and finished at T6 with a score of 10 under 278. At the 2023 and 2021 editions Farmers Insurance Open, he missed the cutline. He didn't play in the 2022 tournament whereas in the 2020 edition, he landed at T9.

He started the 2025 season by participating at the American Express and finished at T12 with a score of 17 under 271.

#3 - Rico Hoey

Rico Hoey’s odds to win the Farmers Insurance Open are +600. Hoey missed the cutline at the 2024 edition after two rounds. This year, he played at the Sony Open in Hawaii and finished at T59 with 5 under 275. Following this, he played at the American Express, where he landed at T58 with a score of 10 under 278.

The Farmers Insurance Open will be his third PGA Tour event in 2025.

#4 - Sam Ryder

Sam Ryder - Source: Imagn Joseph Bramlett - Source: Imagn

Sam Ryder missed the Farmers Insurance Open last season and his odds to win in the 2025 edition is +500. Before the Farmers Insurance Open, he played at the Sony Open and the American Express in 2025 finishing at T21 and T43 with 10 under 270 and 12 under 276, respectively.

#5 - Justin Lower

Justin Lower's odds of winning the Farmers Insurance Open are +11000, as per CBS Sports. Lower played in the 2024 tournament and finished at T43 with a score of 3 under 285. He also played at the 2023 edition and missed the cutline after shooting 73 and 72.

This year, he played at the Sony Open and the American Express to finish at T37 and T3, respectively. Considering his momentum, he is one of the picks who can overperform his odds.

Edited by Shirsh