5 sleeper picks for The American Express 2025 ft. Adam Hadwin

PGA: The Sentry - Third Round - Source: Imagn — Adam Hadwin - Source: Imagn images

The American Express is the third event on the PGA Tour roster after the Sentry Tournament and the Sony Open in Hawaii. The tournament will take place at the PGA WEST Pete Dye Stadium Course from January 16 to 19, featuring a star-studded field with golfers like Wyndham Clark, Justin Thomas, and others.

Defending champion Nick Dunlap will also play at the 2025 American Express. Besides these renowned names at the tournament, some underdogs might surprise the audience with their performance. Hence, here's a list of five such sleeper picks at the event:

Five sleeper picks at the 2025 American Express

#5. Adam Hadwin

Adam Hadwin’s odds to win at the American Express are +7500, per the PGA Tour’s site. Hadwin played the American Express last year and finished at T6 with 25 under 263. In 2023, he finished at T18 at the Pete Dye Stadium Course and in 2022, he finished at T25. In 2021, he landed at T32 with 10 under 278, and in 2020, he didn't play in the event.

Hadwin had five top 20 finishes on the PGA Tour in 2024 including a T3 at the Memorial Tournament.

#4. Tom Hoge

Tom Hoge’s odds of winning the tournament are +900. He finished T17 at the 2024 American Express and had ten other top-20 finishes, including his best at the Travelers Championship, a T3.

In 2023, Hoge landed at T32 in the tournament with a score of 17 under 271, and he finished T2 at the Pete Dye Stadium Course in 2022, with a score of 21 under 267.

#3. Lee Hodges

Lee Hodges has +550 odds, and he finished T10 at the 2025 Sony Open with a score of 12 under 268. In 2024, he had only two top-10 finishes, including a T8 at the Black Desert Championship and a T5 at the RSM Classic.

In 2024 American Express, Hodges missed the cutline after two rounds and had the same result at the tournament in 2023.

#2. Paul Peterson

Paul Peterson’s odds to win the American Express are +500. He didn't play the American Express in the last five years and his last PGA Tour appearance was at the Sony Open at the Waialae Country Club, where he finished at T10 with 12 under 268.

#1. Matteo Manassero

Matteo Manassero’s odds are +230 for the American Express. The golfer played only one tournament in 2025 until now at the DP World Tour’s Nedbank Golf Challenge. He finished at T43 at the Gary Player CC.

In 2024, Manassero won the Jonsson Workwear Open at the DP World Tour and had seven other top-10 finishes.

Edited by Hitesh Nigam