Dalton Kincaid Fantasy Outlook: Should you draft Bills TE in 2024?

Dalton Kincaid enters the season with new expectations. Coming off a stellar rookie season that saw him establish himself as one of the most promising tight ends in the league, the Buffalo Bill has a definite goal: become franchise quarterback Josh Allen's new top receiving target in the wake of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis' departures.

But should fantasy footballers have faith in such ambition? Here's a closer look at the tight end to find out.

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Dalton Kincaid's 2023 stats, 2024 ADP and Outlook: Is he a good fantasy football pick this season?

AFC Wildcard Playoffs - Pittsburgh Steelers v Buffalo Bills (Image Source: Getty)

As a rookie, Kincaid immediately received heavy playing time, starting 11 of 16 games played and catching 73 passes for 673 yards and two touchdowns. That put him at No. 126 ECR and No. 85 heading into the new league year.

That has since increased to No. 78 and No. 49, respectively, as a massive roster overhaul saw Diggs and Davis join the AFC South (Houston Texans and Jacksonville Jaguars, respectively).

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Is Dalton Kincaid a good fantasy football pick this season?

Positionally, he is one of the top tight ends in the league with a best-projected fantasy rank of No. 2, poised to break out with numbers worthy of an All-Pro and Pro Bowl. That makes him a viable fantasy pick, one who could provide better value than even the likes of Travis Kelce and George Kittle under the right circumstances.

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Should you draft Dalton Kincaid in 2024?

According to Sportskeeda's Fantasy TE rankings, Kincaid notably sits higher than either Kelce or Kittle. But a quick check at the fantasy tool shows that the former is far above him in terms of stats – and it also shows the latter being way behind:

Comparing Dalton Kincaid's fantasy stats to those of Travis Kelce and George Kittle - who were at the last Super Bowl

A much fairer comparison would be among Kincaid and the two names sitting between him: Brock Bowers and Mark Andrews. Even then, the tool favors the Baltimore Ravens veteran over his two younger peers:

Comparing Dalton Kincaid's fantasy stats to those of Mark Andrews and Brock Bowers

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Where should you draft Dalton Kincaid in 2024?

Nevertheless, the mere notion of Kincaid being able to compete with such highly-touted elite players for fantasy points is a testament to his ever-growing pprofile and presence. While the top five may be a stretch, a top 10 or 15 pick is not out of the realm of possibility, given his current roster situation.

The Bills open their season against the Arizona Cardinals on Sunday. Kickoff is at 1:00 p.m. ET on CBS.