Mapping out the first round of the 2023 NFL Draft:

Florida's Anthony Richardson, Clemson's Myles Murphy and Oregon's Christian Gonzalez

The second half of the top 10:

6th – Detroit Lions (via LAR), 7th – Las Vegas Raiders, 8th – Atlanta Falcons, 9th – Carolina Panthers and 10th – Philadelphia Eagles (via New Orleans)

In terms of the players I expect to come off the board between picks six and 10, it may be pretty much as straightforward as we get over any five-team stretch.

Just like two quarterbacks, at least, being selected through the first five picks, I don’t see much of a path how either of the other two from this “big four” make it out of the top ten.

I also believe that with the NFL’s hunger for high-end edge rushers, the third name from this group will be taken in this range – either Texas Tech’s Tyree Wilson or Clemson’s Myles Murphy – and then most likely would be two cornerbacks from that trio of Witherspoon, Gonzalez and Porter, since all but one of the teams listed here have a legitimate need at the position. The question will be in which order all of this happens.

The Lions are in an interesting position, because they had some great success on offense this past season (fifth in DVOA as a unit). They could target all three levels of their defense in this spot. But considering they only have this pick due to the Matt Stafford-Jared Goff trade and might be picking in the 20s by this time next year, they may look at this as sort of a golden ticket selection. In that case, they could see if they can make a long-term upgrade at the quarterback position, since they can sit somebody behind Goff for a year.

At the same time, if they feel like this model can be carried out longer and they want to amass more resources, potentially with the idea of making a move a year from now, they’re in a great spot, because the Raiders, Falcons and Panthers could all be looking to jump each other for QB3.

And that’s going to create a fascinating conundrum if whoever ends up being the final guy left from that four-pack of signal-callers is who those other teams expected or wanted to be here.

Most likely, I think it may be Carolina making that move, so the Panthers get their pick ahead of Las Vegas, because their owner is desperate to finally address that position. And while I don’t know a ton about Raiders GM Dave Ziegler, it doesn’t seem in line with the “Patriot Way” he and Josh McDaniels brought to just swap picks with the team one spot ahead of them in order to not get jumped. Detroit and Philly, meanwhile, would be prime landing spots for those top corners.