7 - 2021 - Trevor Lawrence, QB, Jacksonville Jaguars
It is very difficult to rank a player who has played just one season in the NFL after being selected first-overall in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Trevor Lawrence is stupendously talented and has the perfect arm. He also possesses the characteristics necessary to lead a franchise, as highlighted by his diplomatic handling of Urban Meyer’s various missteps as Jaguars coach.
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However, you can’t look past a rookie season that returned 3,641 passing yards and more interceptions than touchdown passes on the worst team in the NFL.
Lawrence has yet to show his talent, although a lot of that can be put down to the incredibly poor working environment that was present in Jacksonville.
I fully expect Lawrence to be a star in the NFL and will be much higher on this list in the future, but for now, I can only label his NFL career as mediocre.
6 - 2019 - Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray had a lot of pre-NFL Draft hype around him after being drafted in the 2018 MLB Draft. He strung the Oakland Athletics along in the hope of holding out for a record rookie contract in baseball, whilst maintaining his preference was to play in the NFL.
This entire saga would build Murray’s NFL Draft stock incredibly well. He rose up boards in the months before the 2019 NFL Draft and by the time the Arizona Cardinals selected him first-overall, few were surprised.
Despite his height being below that of the traditional quarterback, Murray has been a revelation with the Cardinals.
In three seasons, he has thrown for a total of 11,480 yards and 70 touchdowns. He steered the Cardinals to a winning season in 2021, which brought with it a playoff berth, and he is showing every sign of getting better as a quarterback.
He holds the franchise record for the most rookie passing yards, most passing touchdowns from a rookie and the most wins by a rookie Cardinals QB.
Kyler Murray is the most important player in Arizona,. Despite offseason publicity surrounding his unhappiness with the team’s roster, he has shown that being selected first in the NFL Draft was the right spot for his talent.
5 - 2013 - Eric Fisher, OT, Kansas City Chiefs
Offensive linemen aren’t exciting. They don’t look good; they don’t make highlight reels and they create very little hype with regard to the first-overall selection in any given NFL Draft.
So, there was an audible gasp of surprise when the Kansas City Chiefs selected Eric Fisher with the first pick of the 2013 NFL Draft.
Fisher is one of just two offensive linemen taken with the first-overall pick since the turn of the millennium, and his career took years to show real value.
Fisher was selected to two Pro Bowls and was a starting left tackle as the Chiefs won the Super Bowl in 2019.
His eight-year career in Kansas City saw him allow just 44 sacks in 117 games, and he was an unassuming star on the Chiefs’ offensive line.
It’s always difficult to gage value for an offensive lineman taken so highly in an NFL Draft. However, the Chiefs would argue he was a reliable player for eight years and contributed to a championship, making this pick an overwhelming success.
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