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#4 Kansas City Chiefs
Why the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl: They are peaking at the right time and the Chiefs have won four games in a row. Alex Smith has found his touch ever since Andy Reid handed off the play calling duties to offensive coordinator Matt Nagy. Running back Kareem Hunt turns on the jets and Tyreek Hill stays healthy.
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The defense has finally found a pass rush and Marcus Peters is playing a shutdown corner again. They also have confidence to beat New England on the road again.
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Why they won't win the Super Bowl: Alex Smith becomes a turnover machine and they have to put Patrick Mahomes into the game. Travis Kelce becomes a hot head and gets himself ejected. The pass rush disappears and the secondary gets exposed.
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